Wednesday, November 6, 2013

Super Typhoon Yolanda Update On Path And Tracking


Please bookmark this page for any Super Typhoon Yolanda update in the coming days.
Category 2 Typhoon Yolanda aka Haiyan (international name) is rapidly intensifying as it steams west-northwest at 17 mph towards the Philippine Islands. Satellite loops show that Yolanda is a large and steadily organizing typhoon, with plenty of intense thunderstorms that are developing very cold cloud tops as they push high into the atmosphere. With warm waters that extend to great depth, low wind shear, and excellent upper-level outflow, there is nothing to keep Haiyan from growing into a 150 mph super typhoon by Thursday, and it may have a chance at becoming Earth’s fifth Category 5 storm of 2013. Both the GFS and European models predict that Haiyan will hit the central Philippines between 3 – 6 UTC on Friday, and Yolanda will likely be the most dangerous tropical cyclone to affect the Philippines this year. This is particularly true since Tropical Depression Thirty dumped heavy rains over the central Philippines Monday, which helped saturate the soils. This morning’s 06Z run of the HWRF model (Figure 2) predicted that Yolanda would hit the Philippines as a Category 3 storm, bringing a 200-mile wide swath of 4 – 8 inches of rain.
Satellite image from NOAA:
Super typhoon
Last Updated: 11/05/2013, 18:00:00 (CST)
Wind: 150 MPH
Location: 7.4N 220.4E
Super Typhoon Yolanda Tracking
typhoon
5-Day Tracking
Yolanda Typhoon
****
PAGASA Weather Advisory No. 2
For: Typhoon (“HAIYAN”)
Issued at: 10:30 AM, 06 November 2013

The eye of the Typhoon (“HAIYAN”) over the Pacific Ocean was located at 1,411 km East of Mindanao (7.4°N 139.1°E) with maximum sustained winds of 150 kph and gustiness of up to 185 kph. It is forecast to move West Northwest at 30 kph. This weather disturbance is expected to enter The Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tomorrow early morning (November 7). It is expected to make landfall over Samar-Leyte Provinces by Friday (Between 11am-1pm, November 8) and to exit The Philippine Area of Responsibility by Sunday Early Morning (November 10).
The next update on this weather disturbance will be incorporated on the regular issuance of public weather forecast at 5:00 pm today.
satpic

No comments:

Post a Comment